I wonder if this helps explains why polling has been getting worse than usual since 2016. (In relation to presidential polling (midterm polling has been historically accurate).
I wonder if this helps explains why polling has been getting worse than usual since 2016. (In relation to presidential polling (midterm polling has been historically accurate).
That’s likely a really low percentage unfortunately.
I think the estimates are only 2-4% of Trump 2016 voters voted Biden 2020.
But there definitely is something to the “shy Trump voter” theory.