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threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works to Astronomy@mander.xyzEnglish · 2 年前

Don’t panic, but an asteroid has a 1.9% chance of hitting Earth in 2032

arstechnica.com

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Don’t panic, but an asteroid has a 1.9% chance of hitting Earth in 2032

arstechnica.com

threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works to Astronomy@mander.xyzEnglish · 2 年前
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More data will likely reduce the chance of an impact to zero. If not, we have options.
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  • MrTrono@lemmy.world
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    2 年前

    Am I supposed to panic because it’s unlikely to hit? Meanwhile I’m out here wishing for death by meteor.

    • LouNeko@lemmy.world
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      Yeah I’ll take one for the team. I go to the point of impact and when it finaly hits, I’m gonna try to punch it back into orbit.

      You don’t have to thank me.

      • MrTrono@lemmy.world
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        But I’m on team meteor

    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      Just in case this comment is not a joke, here’s the WHO page on suicide prevention.

      Either way, there are a few billion other people on this planet who would rather not die by meteor, thank you very much.

    • lordnikon@lemmy.world
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      Not to be a doomer but most of us will be dead by then I just hope the meteor takes out any lucky oligarchs still alive in a bunker.

      • Omgpwnies@lemmy.world
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        You think “most of us” will be dead in … 7 years? That’s pretty doomer if you ask me.

        • lordnikon@lemmy.world
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          I just read the ipcc reports and if you read those and don’t start a bucket list for the time we have left. I don’t know what to tell you. Trust me I don’t want to be this way I will fight where I can but I’m going to live my life the same time way a terminal patient lives. Cherish the days we got and if I’m wrong I will eat crow happily with a big smile on my face.

        • llamacoffee@lemmy.world
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          2 年前

          Very doomer. Does lemmy have a “remind me in 7 years” bot? 😅

  • Sterile_Technique@lemmy.world
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    2 年前

    Better late than never I guess.

    • Comment105@lemm.ee
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      I’m not even joking. I want this asteroid to hit our planet and make us all go the way of the dinos.

      • Da Cap’n@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        Yes, please!

  • Cform@lemmy.world
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  • parpol@programming.dev
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    2 年前

    To people having panic attacks, it is not large enough to destroy the earth, and we would have plenty of time to evacuate the impact location. Though let’s hope it isn’t anywhere with permafrost.

    • taiyang@lemmy.world
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      Aw, you think we’ll still have permafrost by then.

    • Jimmycakes@lemmy.world
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      You mean populate the impact zone because I’m going to watch

      • Miles O'Brien@startrek.website
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        Yeah, my dogs will be gone by then so I would absolutely set up a tent close enough to catch it. I’d even bring a baseball glove for shits and giggles.

    • photonic_sorcerer@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      It’ll be an equatorial impact.

  • THCDenton@lemmy.world
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    • blackstampede@sh.itjust.works
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      Unexpected Waterworld dipstick guy

      • THCDenton@lemmy.world
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        He’s my go-to for posts like these

        • blackstampede@sh.itjust.works
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          Underutilized meme format, honestly. It can apply to almost anything in daily life circa 2025.

  • DarkFuture@lemmy.world
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    Panic?

    I’m crossing my fingers for the wellbeing of the universe. We’re awful.

    • floquant@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      Worry not, for we are insignificant to the universe.

  • cazssiew@lemmy.world
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  • Coreidan@lemmy.world
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    I’ll only panic if it misses

  • pjwestin@lemmy.world
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    That’s 0.9% more than the last time I checked. I know those are still really low odds, but we can hope…

    • xor@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      deleted by creator

    • quediuspayu@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      I science podcast I follow already warned last week that the probability would go up at first as they narrow down its trajectory.
      They gave the example of a fan closing, as it gets narrow, the earth represents a bigger percentage of the remaining fan. If you keep closing the fan the Earth eventually will fall outside the fan and the percentage drop to zero.

      Unless it turns out that it is dead center.

  • AbsoluteChicagoDog@lemm.ee
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    deleted by creator

    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      Provided it enters in a similarly uninhabited location.

    • Xavienth@lemmygrad.ml
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      Sarcasm?

      Idk about you but if it levels 1287 km² of forest, I don’t think that would exactly be good news for a populated area. On the upper range, it could be equivalent to a 40 megatonne bomb.

  • chemical_cutthroat@lemmy.world
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    Jesus is coming back and he’s pissed…

  • Floshie@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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    should I mention “don’t look up” ?

  • adarza@lemmy.ca
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    is there any way to hurry it along?

  • casmael@lemm.ee
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    Okay so how big is this meteor then

    • everett@lemmy.ml
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      Exactly one meteor wide. Do you need the height as well?

      • dellish@lemmy.world
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        Is it meteoric?

        • everett@lemmy.ml
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          The meteorest.

    • Norgoroth@lemmy.world
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      130 - 400 meters

    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      Listed in the article:

      Scientists estimate that 2024 YR4 is between 130 to 300 feet (40 and 90 meters) wide

      • SpongeBorgCubePants@lemmy.world
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        How many giraffes is it tho

        • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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          !anythingbutmetric@discuss.tchncs.de

      • Comment105@lemm.ee
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        Fuck, I was hoping for a 10-15 km wide one.

  • expatriado@lemmy.world
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    that was Trump chances in 2016…

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