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threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works to Astronomy@mander.xyzEnglish · 11 months ago

Don’t panic, but an asteroid has a 1.9% chance of hitting Earth in 2032

arstechnica.com

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Don’t panic, but an asteroid has a 1.9% chance of hitting Earth in 2032

arstechnica.com

threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works to Astronomy@mander.xyzEnglish · 11 months ago
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More data will likely reduce the chance of an impact to zero. If not, we have options.
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  • MrTrono@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    Am I supposed to panic because it’s unlikely to hit? Meanwhile I’m out here wishing for death by meteor.

    • LouNeko@lemmy.world
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      11 months ago

      Yeah I’ll take one for the team. I go to the point of impact and when it finaly hits, I’m gonna try to punch it back into orbit.

      You don’t have to thank me.

      • MrTrono@lemmy.world
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        11 months ago

        But I’m on team meteor

    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      11 months ago

      Just in case this comment is not a joke, here’s the WHO page on suicide prevention.

      Either way, there are a few billion other people on this planet who would rather not die by meteor, thank you very much.

    • lordnikon@lemmy.world
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      11 months ago

      Not to be a doomer but most of us will be dead by then I just hope the meteor takes out any lucky oligarchs still alive in a bunker.

      • Omgpwnies@lemmy.world
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        11 months ago

        You think “most of us” will be dead in … 7 years? That’s pretty doomer if you ask me.

        • llamacoffee@lemmy.world
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          11 months ago

          Very doomer. Does lemmy have a “remind me in 7 years” bot? 😅

        • lordnikon@lemmy.world
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          11 months ago

          I just read the ipcc reports and if you read those and don’t start a bucket list for the time we have left. I don’t know what to tell you. Trust me I don’t want to be this way I will fight where I can but I’m going to live my life the same time way a terminal patient lives. Cherish the days we got and if I’m wrong I will eat crow happily with a big smile on my face.

  • Sterile_Technique@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    Better late than never I guess.

    • Comment105@lemm.ee
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      11 months ago

      I’m not even joking. I want this asteroid to hit our planet and make us all go the way of the dinos.

      • Da Cap’n@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        11 months ago

        Yes, please!

  • Cform@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

  • parpol@programming.dev
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    11 months ago

    To people having panic attacks, it is not large enough to destroy the earth, and we would have plenty of time to evacuate the impact location. Though let’s hope it isn’t anywhere with permafrost.

    • Jimmycakes@lemmy.world
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      11 months ago

      You mean populate the impact zone because I’m going to watch

      • Miles O'Brien@startrek.website
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        11 months ago

        Yeah, my dogs will be gone by then so I would absolutely set up a tent close enough to catch it. I’d even bring a baseball glove for shits and giggles.

    • taiyang@lemmy.world
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      11 months ago

      Aw, you think we’ll still have permafrost by then.

    • photonic_sorcerer@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      11 months ago

      It’ll be an equatorial impact.

  • THCDenton@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    • blackstampede@sh.itjust.works
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      11 months ago

      Unexpected Waterworld dipstick guy

      • THCDenton@lemmy.world
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        11 months ago

        He’s my go-to for posts like these

        • blackstampede@sh.itjust.works
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          11 months ago

          Underutilized meme format, honestly. It can apply to almost anything in daily life circa 2025.

  • DarkFuture@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    Panic?

    I’m crossing my fingers for the wellbeing of the universe. We’re awful.

    • floquant@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      11 months ago

      Worry not, for we are insignificant to the universe.

  • cazssiew@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

  • Coreidan@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    I’ll only panic if it misses

  • pjwestin@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    That’s 0.9% more than the last time I checked. I know those are still really low odds, but we can hope…

    • xor@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      deleted by creator

    • quediuspayu@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      11 months ago

      I science podcast I follow already warned last week that the probability would go up at first as they narrow down its trajectory.
      They gave the example of a fan closing, as it gets narrow, the earth represents a bigger percentage of the remaining fan. If you keep closing the fan the Earth eventually will fall outside the fan and the percentage drop to zero.

      Unless it turns out that it is dead center.

  • AbsoluteChicagoDog@lemm.ee
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    deleted by creator

    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      11 months ago

      Provided it enters in a similarly uninhabited location.

    • Xavienth@lemmygrad.ml
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      11 months ago

      Sarcasm?

      Idk about you but if it levels 1287 km² of forest, I don’t think that would exactly be good news for a populated area. On the upper range, it could be equivalent to a 40 megatonne bomb.

  • chemical_cutthroat@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    Jesus is coming back and he’s pissed…

  • Floshie@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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    11 months ago

    should I mention “don’t look up” ?

  • adarza@lemmy.ca
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    11 months ago

    is there any way to hurry it along?

  • casmael@lemm.ee
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    11 months ago

    Okay so how big is this meteor then

    • everett@lemmy.ml
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      Exactly one meteor wide. Do you need the height as well?

      • dellish@lemmy.world
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        11 months ago

        Is it meteoric?

        • everett@lemmy.ml
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          11 months ago

          The meteorest.

    • Norgoroth@lemmy.world
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      130 - 400 meters

    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      11 months ago

      Listed in the article:

      Scientists estimate that 2024 YR4 is between 130 to 300 feet (40 and 90 meters) wide

      • SpongeBorgCubePants@lemmy.world
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        11 months ago

        How many giraffes is it tho

        • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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          11 months ago

          !anythingbutmetric@discuss.tchncs.de

      • Comment105@lemm.ee
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        Fuck, I was hoping for a 10-15 km wide one.

  • expatriado@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    that was Trump chances in 2016…

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