I honestly think it sure will. People will probably go in 3 directions:
- Mastodon
- Wait for Bluesky
- Wait for Instagram “Threads”
Honestly, if people go fediverse way, they definitely should choose something like Misskey/Calckey. They’re much better options than mastodon IMO
The problem with Mastodon is that they don’t have very many major entities actively making posts. The main thing I track on twitter is OSINT and US politics, and that community basically doesn’t exist on Mastodon right now
What you call a problem I call a relief. I’m tired of the cult of celebrity that corporate social media foists.
To each their own. I’m glad you enjoy mastodon
To each their own.
Indeed. That’s one of the gratifying things about the deaths of all the billionaire-owned sites. It’s giving room to breathe for those of us who don’t want their vision of a future of humanity on their knees before them servicing them.
Mastodon is very stable and just excellent.
New signups have been crashing Cohost for much of this morning, and it looks like a lot of folks are seeing new Mastodon users as well
Been on mastodon for a couple of years. It’s excellent.
Yeah, Mastodon will gain some more.
I think the issue with the Twitter->Mastodon conversion is that this style of social media is about following people and therefore people will stay where the people they want to follow are. So it becomes a bit of a difficult situation where people won’t move as a person they want to keep in touch with won’t move which means more people won’t move.
Reddit->Lemmy likely won’t have the same problem as this style is about following content rather than people.
I don’t see how it doesn’t. I think the scenario in which Twitter survives through the end of the year is pretty much impossible at this point without significant outside financial intervention.
Calckey should absolutely be pushed for potential replacement, since it mirrors more closely the experience that Twitter users are used to.
I don’t think we’ll see a major migration, though. I think Twitter falling will just result in more fragmentation. I don’t think we’ll ever have a case like before where there’s ONE major social media platform that everyone goes to (which is why ActivityPub is so important).
I think we shouldn’t expect to see the same sort of migration from Twitter to Mastodon like we did for Reddit to Lemmy. Because of network effects, Mastodon will have a much harder time attracting refugees. What you can hope for is more of a slow drip as Twitter users get fed up with the platform. Every migrant to Mastodon makes it that much easier for the remaining Twitter users to move as well.
I’m hopeful but I wouldn’t count on it.
Consider the case where Twitter dies all at once. I really think we’re headed in that direction.
This is the thing, it is much harder to replicate your network on mastodon.
Lemmy is easy, you just look for communities of interest and join them. It’s largely a one sided affair (you the user), sure, people do have relationships in smaller communities but it’s the exception rather than the norm.
Twitter I follow about 500-600 people, and have a shade over 4000 followers. This is a lot harder to rebuild on a new platform. And many of those connections are (online) relationships built up on the platform over many years.
Moving from Twitter is a bit like leaving school. You might maintain relationships with a few of your closest friends, but on the whole, you will not see most of those people again, however much you enjoyed your time with them
I followed you on Mastodon ahaha.
Maybe it does go somewhere!
I have seen posts on Tumblr from people who went (back) there because of the Twitter situation, so there is an additional direction.
